A Comparative Study of Machine Learning Models for Stock Market Rate Prediction

Authors

  • Sreeraksha MS Dept. of Computer Science and Engineering, Bangalore Institute of Technology, Bengaluru, India
  • Bhargavi MS Dept. of Computer Science and Engineering, Bangalore Institute of Technology, Bengaluru, India

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.26438/ijcse/v7i6.985990

Keywords:

Machine Learning, Stock, Prediction, ARIMA, Support Vector Regression, LSTM Neural Network

Abstract

Predicting the direction of movement of the stock market index is important for the development of effective market trading strategies. It usually affects a financial trader’s decision to buy or sell a stock. Closing price is one of the important factors in effective stock trading. Successful prediction of closing stock prices may promise attractive benefits for investors. Machine learning techniques have potential capability to process the historical stock trends and predict near accurate closing prices.This study compares three diverse machine learning models - ARIMA time series forecasting model , Support Vector Regression and LSTM Neural Network in terms of complexity of analysis, predictive accuracy for closing prices and customization.

References

[1] A. A. Adebiyi, A. O. Adewumi , C. K. Ayo., “Stock Price Prediction Using the ARIMA Model”. AMSS 16th International Conference on Computer Modelling and Simulation, 2014.

[2] Tian Ye., “Stock Forecasting Method Based on Wavelet Analysis and ARIMA-SVR Model”, 3rd International Conference on Information Management , 2017.

[3] C. C. Aggarwal., “Neural Networks and Deep learning”, Springer Publication,India, 2018.

[4] Tom M. Mitchell., “Machine Learning”, McGraw Hill Education, India, 2017.

[5] P. Li, C. Jing, T. Liang, M. Liu, Z. Chen, L. Guo.,“Autoregressive Moving Average Modeling in the Financial Sector”, 2015.

[6] M. Usmani, S. H. Adil, Kamranraza , S. S. Ali., “Stock Market Predictions Using Machine Learning Techniques”., 3rd International Conference On Computer And Information Sciences (ICCOINS), 2016.

[7] Tiwari, S., Bharadwaj, A. and Gupta, S., Stock price prediction using data analytics. In International Conference on Advances in Computing, Communication and Control (ICAC3) (pp. 1-5). IEEE,2017.

[8] R.K. Dase, D. D. Pawar, D. S. Daspute, “Methodologies for Prediction of Stock Market: An Artificial Neural Network”, International Journal of Statistika and Mathematika, Vol 1, Issue 1, pp 08-15 , 2011.

[9] A. Greaves , B. Au, “Using the bitcoin transaction graph to predict the price of bitcoin,” No Data 2015.

[10] R. P. Schumaker., H. Chen., “Textual Analysis of Stock Market Prediction Using Financial News’’, Americas Conference on Information Systems, 2006.

[11] A Abraham, B Nath ,P.K Mahanti, “Hybrid intelligent systems for stock market analysis”, in: Computational Science-ICCS , Springer, pp. 337–345, 2007.

[12]S. McNally, J. Roche , S. Caton., “Predicting the Price of Bitcoin Using Machine Learning” 26th Euromicro International Conference on Parallel, Distributed, and Network-Based Processing , 2018.

[13] P.C. Chang, C.H Liu, J.L Lin, “A neural network with a case based dynamic window for stock trading prediction”. Expert Systems with Applications Vol 36, pp.6889–6898, 2009.

[14] Q. Cao, K. B. Leggio , M. J. Schniederjans. “A comparison between Fama and French’s model and artificial neural networks in predicting the Chinese stock market” Computers Operations Research Vol 32, pp. 2499–2512, 2005.

[15] B. G. Malkiel, “A random walk down Wall Street: including a life-cycle guide to personal investing, Completely”,1999.

[16] Y. Hu, K. Liu, K. Zhang, L. Su , M. Liu, “Application of evolutionary computation for rule discovery in stock” , Algorithmic trading: A literature review. Applied Soft Computing Vol 36, pp. 534–551, 2016.

[17] S. B. Achelis. “Technical Analysis from A to Z”. McGraw Hill New York, 2001.

[18] Hussain, Sadiq, C. Akif, Josan D. Tamayo, and Aleeza Safdar. "Big data and learning analytics model." International Journal of Computer Sciences and Engineering Vol 6, Issue 7 pp: 654-663,2018.

[19] Fernandes, Marie. "Data Mining: A Comparative Study of its Various Techniques and its Process." International Journal of Scientific Research in Computer Science and Engineering Vol 5, Issue 1 ,pp. 19-23,2017.

Downloads

Published

2019-06-30
CITATION
DOI: 10.26438/ijcse/v7i6.985990
Published: 2019-06-30

How to Cite

[1]
M. Sreeraksha and M. Bhargavi, “A Comparative Study of Machine Learning Models for Stock Market Rate Prediction”, Int. J. Comp. Sci. Eng., vol. 7, no. 6, pp. 985–990, Jun. 2019.

Issue

Section

Research Article