Weather Prediction Using Indian Almanac Rules

Authors

  • Kartik Jawanjal Dept. of Computer Science and Engineering, MIT School of Engineering, MIT ADT University, Pune Maharashtra, India
  • Mayank Modi Dept. of Computer Science and Engineering, MIT School of Engineering, MIT ADT University, Pune Maharashtra, India
  • Aditya Panchwagh Dept. of Computer Science and Engineering, MIT School of Engineering, MIT ADT University, Pune Maharashtra, India
  • Nagesh Jadhav Dept. of Computer Science and Engineering, MIT School of Engineering, MIT ADT University, Pune Maharashtra, India

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.26438/ijcse/v9i6.1924

Keywords:

Panchang,, Conjunctions, Nakshatras, Ecliptic Longitude, Right Ascension

Abstract

Panchang is a traditional Indian Almanac that has been in practice for over 5 millennia. Important meteorological predictions have been fossilised by this method. The Panchang predictions are approximated for a small area, based on astrological occurrences like effects on weather when different celestial bodies come close to one another etc. Panchang consists of 5 components, namely Tithi, Vaara, Nakshatra, Yoga and Karana, along with many different terminologies. Panchang predictions are carried out using some observed rules. Extensive study of these rules has been performed and then an attempt has been made to write a program which incorporates a set of rules and regulations. The main aim was to predict what type of rainfall will be observed on a particular day based on Planetary and Nakshatra positions. A basic implementation of two Panchang types (In python language) has been done. One being Traditional Panchang and the other- Tamil Panchangam. Both the methods mostly use similar rules and logic, but Traditional Panchang allows prediction for a shorter time period accurately and Tamil Panchangam provides accurate predictions for the yearly time period.

References

[1] Kaluvagunta, Vanadeep & Moorthy, Sadasiva & Musali, Krishnaiah. “Meteorological predictions preserved in the Panchangam versus real-time observations – a case study over Tirupati region – a semi-arid tropical site in India.” Indian Journal of Science and Technology. pp.2491-2509, 2012.

[2] Sivaprakasam, S. & Kanakasabai, V. “Traditional almanac predicted rainfall - A case study”. Indian journal of traditional knowledge. Vol.8, Pp.621-625, 2009

[3] V.B. Vaidya, Suvarna Dhabale, K.S. Damle, L.D. Chimote and M.S. Kulshreshtha, "Astro-Meteorological Rainfall Prediction and Validation for Monsoon 2018 in Gujarat, India", International Journal of Current Microbiology and Applied Sciences Volume.8, Issue.05, 2019

[4] Sandeep Acharya, "Prediction of rainfall variation through flowering phenology of night-flowering jasmine in Tripura", Indian Journal of Traditional Knowledge, Vol.10, Issue.1, pp 96-101, 2011

[5] A.S. Ramanathan, "Contribution to weather science in Ancient India VIII-Observation and measurement of meteorological parameters in Ancient India", Indian Journal of History of Science, Vol.22, Issue.4, 277-285, 1985

[6] Gadgil, Sulochana, J. Srinivasan, Ravi S. Nanjundiah, K. Krishna Kumar, A. A. Munot and K. Rupa Kumar. “On forecasting the Indian summer monsoon: the intriguing season of 2002”. Current Science, Vol.83, Issue.4, pp.394-403, 2002

[7] Kanani PR and Pastakia Astad “Everything is written in the sky! Participatory meteorological assessment and prediction based on traditional beliefs and indicators in Saurashtra”. J. Asian Int. Bioethics. Vol.9, pp.170, 1999.

[8] Satguru Sivaya Subramuniyaswami, “Vedic Calendar – The Kadavul Hindu Panchangam”, The Saivite Series, Himalayan Academy, Kapaa, Hawaii.

[9] De US, Joshi UR & Prakasa Rao GS, “Nakshatra based rainfall climatology”, Mausam, Vol.55, Issue.2, pp 305, 2004.

[10] Vaidya, V.B., Kedar, D., and Vyas, P., Report on Validation of rainfall forecast given by AAU Monsoon Research Almanac-2011”. International Society for Agrometeorology (INSAM) Accounts of operational agro meteorology”, pp.1- 4, 2011.

[11] Mishra, S.K. V.K. Dubey and R.C. Pandey.“Rain Forecasting in Indian Almanacs (Panchangs): a case for making Krishi-Panchang”. Asian Agri-History, Vol.6 Issue.1, pp.29-42, 2002.

Downloads

Published

2021-06-30
CITATION
DOI: 10.26438/ijcse/v9i6.1924
Published: 2021-06-30

How to Cite

[1]
K. Jawanjal, M. Modi, A. Panchwagh, and N. Jadhav, “Weather Prediction Using Indian Almanac Rules”, Int. J. Comp. Sci. Eng., vol. 9, no. 6, pp. 19–24, Jun. 2021.

Issue

Section

Research Article